NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00304d3bedccc242b14991c27a698e3b3d68a875b819fb6824f26dca9309e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 17c | 1,541$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 1,309$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 23c | 1,051$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 22c | 903.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 8c | 902.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 78c | 805.13$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 784.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 11c | 733.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 78c | 727.18$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 16c | 720.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 13c | 598.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 9c | 510.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 23c | 271.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 18c | 243$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 11c | 235.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b006backed Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 22c | 207.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 21c | 203$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 21c | 199.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 12c | 198.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…625cbacked Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 22c | 179$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…7ca4backed Over | 79c | 168.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 77c | 153.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…75dbbacked Over | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Under | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 77c | 83.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 21c | 82.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 78c | 64.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 21c | 58.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 23c | 56.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 77c | 53.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 20c | 52.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 77c | 45.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 78c | 24.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 77c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 79c | 13.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.