TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Knicks25c12,407$3,156 inLost-$3,156.1727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs73c10,211$7,473 inWon+$2,738.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks19c9,159$1,769 inLost-$1,769.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs76c3,177$2,420 inWon+$756.7552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks8c2,048$164 inLost-$163.81,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Knicks11c1,662$180 inLost-$18024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs77c760.08$583 inWon+$176.6921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Knicks27c447.18$122 inLost-$122.152920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks15c354.66$53 inLost-$53.0917237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks28c325$91 inLost-$911,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks33c315$103 inLost-$103.0493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks11c187.71$21 inLost-$20.6525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks25c163.04$40 inLost-$40.225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks18c159.48$29 inLost-$28.712615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs78c151.3$118 inWon+$32.894961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Knicks21c149.06$32 inLost-$31.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks28c142$40 inLost-$39.7616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs57c106.96$61 inWon+$45.991,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Spurs79c100$79 inWon+$211883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs54c100$54 inWon+$4632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks18c100$18 inLost-$1845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Knicks16c97.32$16 inLost-$15.84736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Spurs79c94.19$74 inWon+$20.184161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Knicks26c75.51$20 inLost-$205129.4%15 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Spurs75c75.16$56 inWon+$18.7927553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs77c68.92$53 inWon+$15.8589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfc…678ebacked Knicks23c64.31$15 inLost-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks19c62$12 inLost-$11.7833030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Spurs79c45.46$36 inWon+$9.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs76c32.88$25 inWon+$7.8912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda1…7b5ebacked Spurs79c32.68$26 inWon+$6.755572.7%40 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Spurs76c28.91$22 inWon+$6.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed Spurs77c25.8$20 inWon+$5.812740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Spurs78c25.47$20 inWon+$5.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs79c25.15$20 inWon+$5.287154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.