NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6711154152a461d48cb7b023f4d9d74fa299b69fd72eca382b1dd4b6fa1f06de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.98 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs | 50c | 4,576$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.56 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 45c | 2,570$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.75 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,173$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.5 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 50c | 2,147$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 48c | 1,705$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 45c | 1,699$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.16 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 51c | 1,024$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.08 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.39 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 41c | 940.4$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.7 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 56c | 929.69$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 45c | 401.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 45c | 383$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 63c | 345.37$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Knicks | 29c | 314.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 71c | 304.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Spurs | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 63c | 156.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 34c | 145.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spurs | 54c | 141.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 72c | 134$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Spurs | 45c | 123.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs | 47c | 105.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Spurs | 65c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Knicks | 75c | 99.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Knicks | 70c | 95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 71c | 85.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Knicks | 64c | 72.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Spurs | 43c | 72.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs | 41c | 66.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Spurs | 34c | 59.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Knicks | 51c | 58.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Knicks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Spurs | 39c | 43.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Knicks | 53c | 43.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Knicks | 67c | 42.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Knicks | 49c | 42.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs | 32c | 41.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks | 68c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Knicks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Spurs | 66c | 31.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Spurs | 46c | 25.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 48c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Spurs | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.