TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No54c661.65$358 inWon+$303.381,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No50c575.36$287 inWon+$288.3933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes54c403.08$218 inLost-$217.662166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes45c334$150 inLost-$15018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes46c329.62$150 inLost-$15014443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked No61c329.09$200 inWon+$129.0913759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c309.72$119 inLost-$118.5753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Yes43c271.35$117 inLost-$116.683964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No57c250$143 inWon+$107.556050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes42c224.05$94 inLost-$94.140053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes47c211.81$99 inLost-$9930055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed No55c200$110 inWon+$9030544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0e…90a1backed Yes45c154.68$70 inLost-$69.552272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed No58c118.97$69 inWon+$49.9710636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Yes48c74.8$36 inLost-$36.0718850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…2b99backed Yes47c73.6$34 inLost-$34.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes34c66.04$23 inLost-$22.713551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost-$301266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+91.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c43…31c1backed No58c56.04$32 inWon+$23.6412044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcffc…0f81backed Yes45c54.98$25 inLost-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No57c52$30 inWon+$22.4276054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed No58c51.72$30 inWon+$21.721560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c3…0964backed No65c50.73$33 inWon+$17.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes25c46.09$11 inLost-$11.3330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes46c40$19 inLost-$18.56246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841f…bbd0backed Yes45c33.1$15 inLost-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aeb…6494backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd755…61a1backed Yes34c30.73$10 inLost-$10.454037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked No76c25.97$20 inWon+$6.235887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf56e…a853backed No76c25.97$20 inWon+$6.234393%40 W · 3 L+12.5wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed No58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.863554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes44c25.27$11 inLost-$11.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.