TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,984 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6be…fcfebacked No49c835.77$410 inLost-$409.5310244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No48c600.09$287 inLost-$286.571,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes51c412.1$210 inWon+$202.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Yes54c341$184 inWon+$157.011861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes46c311.9$143 inWon+$168.426147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes50c297.06$150 inWon+$147.0615048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked No54c292.54$158 inLost-$157.8312541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No49c249.97$122 inLost-$122.4956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No49c214.72$105 inLost-$105.2133049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No47c207.7$98 inLost-$97.629348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c200.29$106 inWon+$94.4884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0a…e172backed Yes51c193.18$99 inWon+$94.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes51c132.41$68 inWon+$64.8810636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4afc…ded7backed Yes51c94.65$48 inWon+$46.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked No48c86.54$42 inLost-$41.543551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x525f…0f46backed No55c81.18$45 inLost-$44.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes45c81.18$37 inWon+$44.652166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon+$28.8215351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fc…a829backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon+$28.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon+$27.695664.3%36 W · 20 L+9.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfab6…8d16backed Yes50c50$25 inWon+$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes51c40$20 inWon+$19.64647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d9…cd34backed Yes51c39.47$20 inWon+$19.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.221936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes52c38.13$20 inWon+$18.136259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes51c33.69$17 inWon+$16.517437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked No51c29.09$15 inLost-$14.895352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inWon+$13.855561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3b…531fbacked No53c28.06$15 inLost-$152937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked No54c20$11 inLost-$10.812850.8%65 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.