TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,466 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed No41c1,156$474 inLost-$4742,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes59c678.38$400 inWon+$278.3820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes59c520.8$307 inWon+$213.89950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No49c478.07$233 inLost-$232.7333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes49c340$167 inWon+$173.420558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf137…50b2backed Yes61c221.83$135 inWon+$86.761973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No42c99.98$42 inLost-$41.994360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes57c80.97$46 inWon+$34.8256050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No43c58.43$25 inLost-$2566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Yes49c50$25 inWon+$25.511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Yes58c46.41$27 inWon+$19.493638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Yes59c40$24 inWon+$16.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed No41c40$16 inLost-$16.43964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No43c30.28$13 inLost-$13.0215753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No41c27.97$11 inLost-$11.471,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No37c27.03$10 inLost-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon+$9.192343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.