NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e57956272e3d12c8f8f2d0f7313b04080c2e503e5e8a36987c76b10644ceba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 26c | 4,732$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.63 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Under | 19c | 4,407$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 3,763$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Under | 27c | 3,661$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…618abacked Over | 75c | 2,300$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 2,093$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.2 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 78c | 1,696$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 1,679$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…95bbbacked Over | 74c | 1,602$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 18c | 1,284$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.65 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 23c | 1,049$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 80c | 747$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 23c | 655.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 569.82$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 11c | 564.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 26c | 519$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 30c | 514.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 20c | 433$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Over | 74c | 398.77$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 29c | 266.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 72c | 253$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 78c | 251.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 26c | 239.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 74c | 203.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 27c | 201.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…2a55backed Over | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 71c | 189.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Under | 19c | 183.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 148.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 76c | 143.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…b4d7backed Over | 74c | 134.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 13c | 134$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 24c | 131.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 65c | 125.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 72c | 124.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 28c | 120.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 68c | 110.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…3572backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 63c | 99.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85c…cffbbacked Over | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…bac6backed Over | 77c | 79.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Under | 21c | 62.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 17c | 60.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 36c | 38.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 35.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 73c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 61c | 27.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…9670backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 65c | 20.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 66c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.