TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,251 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb170…354ebacked Under45c1,283$576 inWon+$706.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over55c700.57$385 inLost-$385.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under37c667.89$247 inWon+$420.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over69c573.34$395 inLost-$395.2713759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under33c517.9$171 inWon+$346.991,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over55c496.46$273 inLost-$273.051,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over64c469.07$300 inLost-$30025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c367.25$111 inWon+$255.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over68c306.68$210 inLost-$21010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over72c279.25$200 inLost-$20052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961f…a3e6backed Over77c260.26$200 inLost-$200560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under43c243$104 inWon+$138.5110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over53c160.8$85 inLost-$85.0932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over67c148.69$100 inLost-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over30c139.74$42 inLost-$41.9268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c137.55$81 inLost-$80.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under28c110.52$31 inWon+$79.185129.4%15 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under33c108.3$35 inWon+$72.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over67c102.68$69 inLost-$68.864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Over50c100$50 inLost-$5015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c100$51 inLost-$512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c100$49 inWon+$5125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under29c90.15$26 inWon+$63.9179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over50c69$35 inLost-$34.519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over42c60.99$26 inLost-$25.7131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0d…a667backed Under39c60$23 inWon+$36.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c54.67$16 inWon+$38.331,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over63c50$32 inLost-$31.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under30c48.47$15 inWon+$33.9316429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50b…6cc6backed Over61c44.88$27 inLost-$27.382245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Over50c40.16$20 inLost-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Over69c40$28 inLost-$27.69271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c30.12$11 inWon+$19.283,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under49c30$15 inWon+$15.371752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under36c28.92$10 inWon+$18.6133356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Under59c20.4$12 inWon+$8.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Over67c20$13 inLost-$13.47751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over61c19.89$12 inLost-$12.1315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over65c18.86$12 inLost-$12.268155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.