TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ec…f767

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.2
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spursbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.35
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.79
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.5
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$138.32
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$74.29
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Jude Bellingham score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Viktor Gyökeres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$22.33
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Sabah FK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.28
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$169.24
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.51
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+329.5%+$198.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+127.4%+$120.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+300.9%+$167.53
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.53
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$81.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+79.7%+$12.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$68.43
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.14
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.96
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$104.9
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.65
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.73
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$62.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canadabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.