Will Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213fbe1efcbcf60b996e6d183b0869905cd60d22315aff429fefc9ec128ee0f6

Rebuilt 26 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,774 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb437…cfb3backed No	58c	346.93$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.08	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	40c	280$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	41c	172.24$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.81	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	54c	155.32$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.66	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	49c	133.75$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.71	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	51c	99.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x716a…f358backed Yes	39c	97.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.16	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	21c	78.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes	19c	62.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	21c	60.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	54c	54.78$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No	61c	48.2$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x783e…5a19backed Yes	28c	47.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	50c	45.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	45c	44.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	50c	40.92$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34a…71bbbacked No	37c	40.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.33	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc318…d82abacked Yes	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes	55c	34.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	63c	18.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event