Will Bruno Guimarães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9337459e064fd53d0e11e3a1650e7e3c6178aa06c43edb0494bd25f760096fb

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,351 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x958d…3501backed Yes	36c	331.84$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.9	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	69c	234.36$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.86	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	66c	180.32$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.58	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032d…7168backed Yes	36c	139.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	33c	117.68$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.83	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686b…ea8fbacked Yes	43c	115.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	39c	101.14$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a57…d90cbacked No	62c	78.59$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No	74c	70.88$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.43	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	39c	60.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…7c77backed Yes	26c	55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	67c	52$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	59c	50.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	61c	45.22$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	65c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	64c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	64c	39.55$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.24	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	73c	27.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	63c	24.05$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.94	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8ef3…ac46backed No	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bruno Guimarães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event