Will Chris Wood score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f1795253094a8d63b37aacea72bc417e43f3f8f962515060c63ae548bf2dc1

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	46c	381.97$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.07	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	76c	372.9$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.5	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	58c	225.99$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.68	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	39c	203$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	55c	199.99$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	24c	190.2$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.65	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	40c	175.34$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	51c	133.75$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.54	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	60c	114.17$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.27	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	44c	100.01$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	58c	99$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	32c	79.71$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	60c	73$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	24c	52.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	59c	45.34$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.59	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	60c	45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed No	48c	41.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.37	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed No	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	50c	37.54$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.81	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	54c	32.63$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	58c	32.42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.62	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	60c	29.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f89…20bbbacked Yes	45c	24.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed No	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chris Wood score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event