Will Iñaki Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf089cd0ea0461d3377b2d22d6183f308b9f1e86d5545604504aafeb989b9428f

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,726 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8454…331abacked No	68c	650.85$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.44	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed Yes	31c	162.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	32c	115$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4098…403cbacked No	68c	97.85$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	22c	96.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.02	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	23c	62.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	68c	60$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b9…5225backed Yes	34c	51.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.27	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe673…b3d9backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	75c	38.52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes	30c	38.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…e621backed No	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	70	72.9%51 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	70c	18.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.7	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Iñaki Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event