Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b99593fa3864c4c32af128b6cc4128a342512a30a7ba9b37e4721c983f9cc9a

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,290 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8647…d870backed No	7c	819.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	4c	421$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	9c	165$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	64c	157.17$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.58	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	37c	109.79$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac2d…a9c4backed No	35c	99.17$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.86	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	20c	65.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed No	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes	64c	38.05$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Yes	66c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event