Will Dan Ndoye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaa4cf99ad9f4e3772ec612eaa43f6a8a9aabc4569168b15b6dc7ac92dc3b692

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	31c	2,323$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.92	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	65c	611.55$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	26c	609$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.95	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	55c	404.16$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.12	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	79c	386$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.84	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0d…9501backed Yes	74c	225$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	50c	208.79$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.95	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	75c	203$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.75	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb854…a75dbacked No	50c	201.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed No	34c	190.09$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.13	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	63c	157.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	76c	155.15$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.99	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x508f…8a22backed Yes	57c	148$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.19	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.21per pick	48cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	40c	138.07$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.66	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	56c	106$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.36	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd39…5f76backed Yes	77c	99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd850…b459backed No	55c	91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	59c	84.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.17	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	29c	82.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	37c	79.37$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd11a…5ffdbacked No	23c	65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No	58c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No	54c	57.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	23c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1f…9b29backed No	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	56c	46$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	75c	46$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab50…5d0abacked Yes	69c	46$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	25c	45.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed No	30c	34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	77c	26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	123	39%48 W · 75 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefb…09febacked Yes	55c	24.39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e1…e621backed Yes	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	70	72.9%51 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.16	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02d…bcffbacked Yes	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked No	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Yes	70c	19.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Dan Ndoye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event