TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb1f…9b29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$82.5
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$36.9
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$66.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.78
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$52.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Ndoye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+141%+$1,170
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Will Francisco Conceição be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+255.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+611.2%+$171.15
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$33.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.