NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0550c87bd3f69afb7ee355ad4bd0f28d249d5ec27d6d383253d5ba121a57ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,361,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 20c | 106,135$21,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,227.02 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Bulls | 21c | 100,000$20,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,823.06 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 65,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Bulls | 21c | 59,960$12,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,591.6 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bulls | 19c | 43,190$8,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100.89 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bulls | 16c | 40,176$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,428.19 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 15c | 36,648$5,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431.07 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Bulls | 15c | 36,015$5,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431.48 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bulls | 19c | 23,145$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.47 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 19c | 23,007$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.27 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls | 13c | 22,939$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.09 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 19c | 21,033$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.26 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…9ba9backed Bulls | 19c | 20,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Bulls | 16c | 19,292$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.71 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bulls | 16c | 19,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 80c | 16,224$12,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Bulls | 19c | 15,789$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Cavaliers | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.03 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Bulls | 14c | 14,900$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 20c | 13,684$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bulls | 14c | 12,573$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.54 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 6c | 11,508$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.05 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bulls | 13c | 10,824$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.12 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls | 17c | 10,606$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.52 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 80c | 10,330$8,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 16c | 10,214$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.2 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 14c | 9,855$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Bulls | 18c | 9,522$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.95 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bulls | 20c | 9,080$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.84 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 79c | 8,200$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 17c | 8,135$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.75 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 16c | 7,070$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bulls | 11c | 7,011$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…91bbbacked Bulls | 14c | 6,550$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Bulls | 19c | 6,506$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.14 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls | 13c | 6,439$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.07 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Bulls | 15c | 6,346$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.9 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 18c | 6,084$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bulls | 19c | 5,680$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.55 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bulls | 14c | 5,098$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.05 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bulls | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bulls | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Cavaliers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Bulls | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 19c | 4,946$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 12c | 4,775$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.99 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 13c | 4,607$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.85 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 17c | 4,473$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.61 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Cavaliers | 79c | 3,774$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Bulls | 14c | 3,600$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bulls | 9c | 3,417$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.39 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Bulls | 17c | 3,232$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.44 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Bulls | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Bulls | 16c | 2,909$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.04 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…3656backed Bulls | 14c | 2,900$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 2,741$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.29 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…809abacked Bulls | 14c | 2,700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 14c | 2,621$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Bulls | 20c | 2,620$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Bulls | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Bulls | 17c | 2,355$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.83 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Bulls | 21c | 2,264$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Bulls | 15c | 2,242$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,211$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Bulls | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Bulls | 5c | 2,031$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,018$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…84debacked Bulls | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Bulls | 17c | 1,777$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bulls | 8c | 1,749$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 14c | 1,740$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls | 3c | 1,667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…3faebacked Bulls | 14c | 1,590$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…a140backed Bulls | 16c | 1,563$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Bulls | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Bulls | 20c | 1,460$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Bulls | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,321$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.62 | 117 | 66.7%78 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bulls | 27c | 1,265$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bulls | 15c | 1,260$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bulls | 20c | 1,249$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…278ebacked Bulls | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 18c | 1,120$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Bulls | 20c | 1,093$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bulls | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bulls | 23c | 1,011$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Bulls | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Bulls | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ec74backed Bulls | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Bulls | 19c | 999.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.