TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c7,456$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.881,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c2…dc72backed Over52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…6c49backed Under48c3,847$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c3,253$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.442,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c2,552$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c2,508$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under52c2,493$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.441,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c2,282$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.381,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c2,174$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c1,833$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.923,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.2424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c1,585$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under53c1,450$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.517052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over44c1,323$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.915658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61110251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c1,260$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.6780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,115$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.015040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under51c1,000$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8629149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over54c924.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c810.21$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.91,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over47c797$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5954443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c764$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.161,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31211957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over48c599.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29037842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c548.88$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Under48c537$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2417554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c406.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.313,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Over48c339.58$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Under56c338.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.864337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under55c326.27$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Over44c261.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under54c252.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over46c243.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Over48c231$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.883228.1%9 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Over47c231$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.576949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over48c231$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8814145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa438…8605backed Under52c214.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.112035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c204.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Over44c194$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3611229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under51c181.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under57c168.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb610…0f48backed Under48c165$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c163.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under52c144.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2333748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over49c143.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.341,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over44c112.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed Over44c112.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c77…55a4backed Over52c104$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.083548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x432f…0b4cbacked Under52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.923342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over42c95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over48c92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1613950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under52c85.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0810748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c83.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c82.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.851,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf9…ae91backed Over54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under45c67.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over48c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1622351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8578…c4acbacked Over55c62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under53c60.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7720350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c59.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under53c54.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over48c48.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…e1d1backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da9…2c15backed Under47c40.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8325138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…513cbacked Over54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.889849%48 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c21.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under57c21.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.161,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over48c21.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under56c20.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1738853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed Under56c18.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.275549.1%27 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.