NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc2a66dc33d8f8f263d4142b88182831f44704d1ac7acb1d8eebf4378191a1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 7,456$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.88 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…dc72backed Over | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…6c49backed Under | 48c | 3,847$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 3,253$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 2,552$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,508$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 52c | 2,493$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 2,282$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.38 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,174$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,833$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.24 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,585$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 44c | 1,323$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.67 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 1,115$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.01 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.86 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 54c | 924.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 810.21$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.9 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 47c | 797$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.59 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 764$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 599.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 548.88$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 48c | 537$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 406.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Over | 48c | 339.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Under | 56c | 338.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 55c | 326.27$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Over | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 54c | 252.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 243.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Over | 48c | 231$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Over | 47c | 231$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 48c | 231$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed Under | 52c | 214.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 44c | 194$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 181.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 57c | 168.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…0f48backed Under | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 163.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 52c | 144.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 143.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 44c | 112.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…7029backed Over | 44c | 112.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…55a4backed Over | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked Under | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Over | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 52c | 85.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 83.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 82.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…ae91backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 45c | 67.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8578…c4acbacked Over | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 53c | 60.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 59.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 54.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 48.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…e1d1backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…2c15backed Under | 47c | 40.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…513cbacked Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 57c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 56c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Under | 56c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.