NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d7b6b3ae3223a7934b4f3efe4b5ac1803b47bc13d7cf4683c674168f8f8fc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Cavaliers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,878 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bulls | 60c | 36,209$21,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,320.24 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 38c | 17,038$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 54c | 12,474$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,704.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 12,023$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.34 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Bulls | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,123$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Cavaliers | 41c | 3,770$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.7 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 3,308$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Bulls | 57c | 3,118$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 2,630$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.2 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,850$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Cavaliers | 39c | 1,591$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.33 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 54c | 1,522$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,352$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.68 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 56c | 1,289$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,238$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.54 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 1,075$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 56c | 1,074$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 39c | 1,032$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,022$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.9 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Bulls | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 974.33$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.22 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bulls | 56c | 885.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.58 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 878.07$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Bulls | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bulls | 57c | 797.74$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 56c | 797.53$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers | 44c | 735.08$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Bulls | 52c | 720.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.96 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 55c | 679.54$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 59c | 659.05$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Cavaliers | 35c | 586.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 40c | 569.4$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Cavaliers | 43c | 565$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Cavaliers | 38c | 540.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Cavaliers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 45c | 523.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 57c | 517.17$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 504.6$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.81 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Cavaliers | 60c | 503.78$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cavaliers | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Bulls | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 495.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cavaliers | 38c | 473.74$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Cavaliers | 43c | 438$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Cavaliers | 46c | 424.76$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 416$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 55c | 409.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Cavaliers | 13c | 400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Cavaliers | 46c | 363.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bulls | 56c | 361$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 55c | 315.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Cavaliers | 38c | 272$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Cavaliers | 38c | 272$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 249.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 229.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Cavaliers | 46c | 226.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bulls | 56c | 223.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers | 35c | 220.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 205.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Cavaliers | 46c | 201.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Cavaliers | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 197.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Cavaliers | 46c | 197.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 56c | 191.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls | 55c | 191$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 189.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 182.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Cavaliers | 45c | 182.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…7c37backed Cavaliers | 49c | 178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Cavaliers | 38c | 166.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…da59backed Cavaliers | 38c | 164.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…f543backed Cavaliers | 46c | 159.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Cavaliers | 44c | 153.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Cavaliers | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 144.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…cb3fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 144.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Cavaliers | 37c | 143$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed Cavaliers | 46c | 134.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 43c | 133.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Cavaliers | 46c | 133.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 119.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 116.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Bulls | 57c | 116.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Cavaliers | 39c | 111.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 101.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 100.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Bulls | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls | 55c | 98.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bulls | 56c | 96.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…fc0dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 90.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…b136backed Bulls | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7278…737dbacked Bulls | 52c | 81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9697…8024backed Cavaliers | 46c | 77.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…3fc1backed Cavaliers | 46c | 76.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.