TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Cavaliers, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,667 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls57c44,078$25,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,026.449,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bulls60c33,802$20,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,646.3922453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bulls59c26,803$15,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,922.3436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Cavaliers42c13,447$5,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,623.1526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Cavaliers44c12,023$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,290.097653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls53c10,913$5,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers48c10,421$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.442,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls58c10,022$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,176.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Cavaliers46c8,252$3,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,795.919440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls61c6,986$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers50c5,932$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.414,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers42c5,643$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…25f3backed Cavaliers52c4,435$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6194…759cbacked Cavaliers52c4,101$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e55…4d88backed Cavaliers52c4,020$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea95…9529backed Cavaliers52c4,001$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers38c4,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Cavaliers48c3,960$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.68148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…a1a7backed Cavaliers52c3,895$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8e…9640backed Cavaliers52c3,877$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b2…0c12backed Cavaliers52c3,611$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls53c3,478$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28c…4eccbacked Cavaliers52c3,458$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Cavaliers37c3,295$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.159849%48 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…0ca9backed Cavaliers48c3,046$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.082454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Cavaliers51c2,892$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.9319346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Bulls58c2,887$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.697150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f21…a115backed Cavaliers52c2,811$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb608…9f64backed Cavaliers52c2,755$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c1…ed18backed Cavaliers52c2,754$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc034…389bbacked Cavaliers52c2,636$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e07…a8c0backed Bulls48c2,607$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls53c2,568$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.461,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdda…1ecebacked Bulls48c2,533$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd699…1869backed Cavaliers52c2,515$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b30…a52cbacked Bulls48c2,511$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x467c…4ecbbacked Cavaliers52c2,424$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4496…b5f0backed Bulls48c2,414$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab9…8da8backed Bulls48c2,401$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Cavaliers45c2,384$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0732231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd661…9868backed Cavaliers52c2,369$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ee…4563backed Bulls48c2,332$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca13…c12dbacked Bulls48c2,332$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c1…c467backed Bulls48c2,288$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…e81dbacked Bulls48c2,274$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Bulls51c2,260$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.59655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032c…9c0ebacked Bulls48c2,218$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Cavaliers48c2,124$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.819445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5152…3346backed Bulls48c2,112$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab7b…7da6backed Bulls48c2,066$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6db…aa2ebacked Cavaliers52c2,036$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d32…7df1backed Bulls48c2,033$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ec…6713backed Cavaliers52c2,020$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7f…116ebacked Cavaliers52c2,011$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b0…69fdbacked Bulls48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc6…bd31backed Bulls48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Bulls49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Cavaliers40c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…525ebacked Bulls48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7244…2985backed Bulls48c1,966$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b0…70f2backed Cavaliers52c1,945$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d4…c7c9backed Cavaliers52c1,922$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f6…3c2fbacked Bulls48c1,922$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3f…737bbacked Cavaliers52c1,844$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f34…ea77backed Bulls48c1,833$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4576…1345backed Cavaliers52c1,823$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c93…5f73backed Bulls48c1,820$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3852…d35cbacked Bulls48c1,811$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7769…9c64backed Bulls48c1,811$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7990…fa50backed Cavaliers52c1,796$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bulls52c1,769$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe2…0157backed Bulls48c1,744$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers43c1,742$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f9…d97abacked Bulls48c1,722$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…b033backed Bulls48c1,722$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee84…ac6ebacked Cavaliers52c1,655$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da0…dc6abacked Bulls48c1,655$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed8…c171backed Bulls48c1,644$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a93…d5eabacked Cavaliers52c1,644$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c0…94e3backed Cavaliers52c1,643$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb537…21e6backed Cavaliers52c1,633$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe7…5755backed Bulls48c1,629$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bulls52c1,624$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.0465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1f…6436backed Cavaliers52c1,623$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1940…8c8fbacked Cavaliers52c1,622$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b45…8594backed Bulls48c1,622$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaf…b793backed Bulls48c1,621$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f9…d9fabacked Cavaliers52c1,613$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…778fbacked Bulls48c1,599$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Cavaliers41c1,589$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.551,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf27…1550backed Bulls48c1,550$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed13…3985backed Bulls48c1,536$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372f…365dbacked Bulls48c1,533$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0670…88b9backed Cavaliers52c1,527$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bulls56c1,508$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.8734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ff…d1efbacked Bulls48c1,488$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a46…32cdbacked Bulls48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e9…8259backed Cavaliers52c1,446$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6760…816fbacked Cavaliers52c1,428$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.