NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9079822f95376dae8797ecb6d5b2a0251bd24f102693cf667f3911d864c08f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $742,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 93,342$43,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,562.91 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Under | 45c | 70,500$31,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,775 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 54,367$28,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,478.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 23,391$11,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,503.23 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…1aadbacked Under | 45c | 11,116$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 50c | 10,372$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.2 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…d647backed Over | 55c | 9,026$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…ce25backed Over | 55c | 8,719$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…2df7backed Over | 55c | 8,209$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…de6bbacked Under | 45c | 8,003$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ba04backed Over | 55c | 7,978$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…6daabacked Under | 45c | 7,789$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…0735backed Over | 55c | 6,953$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8731backed Under | 45c | 6,919$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 6,724$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…49e2backed Under | 45c | 6,637$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…8c70backed Under | 45c | 6,628$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…1a5cbacked Over | 55c | 6,579$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…ec5bbacked Under | 45c | 6,548$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…55c3backed Under | 45c | 6,504$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…67cdbacked Under | 45c | 6,479$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…4ee5backed Under | 45c | 6,219$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…5ecebacked Under | 45c | 6,213$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…bf75backed Under | 45c | 6,142$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…1382backed Under | 45c | 5,867$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…b5b1backed Under | 45c | 5,696$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…88bbbacked Under | 45c | 5,692$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…58afbacked Over | 55c | 5,686$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…3233backed Over | 55c | 5,686$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…1f6fbacked Under | 45c | 5,607$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…90d0backed Under | 45c | 5,563$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…e360backed Over | 55c | 5,508$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…8673backed Over | 55c | 5,426$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 51c | 5,355$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.18 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cb…6d23backed Under | 45c | 5,210$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…8f09backed Over | 55c | 5,111$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8385…9c66backed Over | 55c | 5,095$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…b3d4backed Over | 55c | 5,087$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…5b04backed Over | 55c | 5,031$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…7facbacked Over | 55c | 5,013$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d7…95f3backed Over | 55c | 5,008$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d88…6db9backed Over | 55c | 4,975$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa542…fb18backed Over | 55c | 4,950$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…5730backed Over | 55c | 4,888$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…db58backed Over | 55c | 4,733$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…60b3backed Over | 55c | 4,667$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…c6d0backed Over | 55c | 4,593$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…9cbcbacked Under | 45c | 4,561$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8e4dbacked Under | 45c | 4,539$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…933abacked Over | 55c | 4,523$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…7261backed Under | 45c | 4,506$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd901…df3fbacked Over | 55c | 4,420$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…26e7backed Under | 45c | 4,369$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab6…9d91backed Over | 55c | 4,360$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe3…cba7backed Over | 55c | 4,335$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…94ecbacked Over | 55c | 4,223$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…00edbacked Over | 55c | 4,168$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…ee0bbacked Under | 45c | 4,158$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…595abacked Over | 55c | 4,156$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…54debacked Over | 55c | 4,146$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…2443backed Over | 55c | 4,087$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…fc6abacked Under | 45c | 4,080$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…8deabacked Over | 55c | 4,071$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…9011backed Over | 55c | 4,045$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…76bdbacked Under | 45c | 3,922$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…2d4ebacked Over | 55c | 3,916$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…7f9fbacked Over | 55c | 3,810$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…5decbacked Over | 55c | 3,772$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…f2a6backed Over | 55c | 3,693$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…d283backed Over | 55c | 3,549$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 3,478$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…87babacked Over | 55c | 3,399$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 3,384$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c4…83afbacked Over | 55c | 3,351$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…a850backed Under | 45c | 3,207$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…6a75backed Under | 45c | 3,199$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…bda9backed Over | 55c | 3,091$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc780…4397backed Under | 45c | 3,064$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…537cbacked Over | 55c | 3,038$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 3,031$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…3ebdbacked Over | 55c | 2,991$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…3896backed Under | 45c | 2,950$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…8e1cbacked Under | 45c | 2,859$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…a878backed Over | 55c | 2,816$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…6f4ebacked Over | 55c | 2,815$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…bc90backed Over | 55c | 2,739$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54b…09c2backed Under | 45c | 2,688$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…ca21backed Under | 45c | 2,655$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…89bebacked Under | 45c | 2,636$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…762fbacked Under | 45c | 2,634$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…6ccdbacked Under | 45c | 2,622$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa186…5e6bbacked Under | 45c | 2,622$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…1fe1backed Over | 55c | 2,613$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…8e9fbacked Under | 45c | 2,593$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d8…17b1backed Under | 45c | 2,587$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…4517backed Under | 45c | 2,584$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…c032backed Under | 45c | 2,577$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d4…32c3backed Over | 55c | 2,576$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fc…cd67backed Under | 45c | 2,568$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.