NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d5c46df5eb17ed397efaea3e7d2836879c55186e7bbc6d97996e71a7526ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,651 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 522,593$255,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,985.25 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 152,976$78,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,958.43 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 115,790$59,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,737.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 39,200$20,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,865.51 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 34,670$17,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,274.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 22,704$11,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,993.39 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 14,759$7,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,231.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Over | 48c | 13,833$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 11,999$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.51 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 49c | 11,123$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.36 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 11,108$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.51 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 53c | 9,085$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.04 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 8,250$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 7,881$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.99 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 48c | 5,325$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 49c | 4,012$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.87 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 3,293$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 3,216$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 48c | 2,304$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 2,215$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.85 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,970$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.79 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,602$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 51c | 1,236$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.36 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 1,232$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.35 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,227$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,048$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 51c | 999.93$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 995$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 832.56$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 809.81$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 42c | 760.75$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 692.15$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 58c | 690$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 682$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 671$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.79 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 634.71$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.01 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 51c | 548.12$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.58 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 525.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.34 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 446$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 52c | 421.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Over | 49c | 358.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 330$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 49c | 309.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 300.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 5c | 294.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 51c | 245.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 52c | 231$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 51c | 174$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 164.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…6cf5backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…f9a5backed Over | 53c | 145.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 53c | 132.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…9c30backed Under | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Over | 49c | 111.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 100.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…118fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…9ea3backed Over | 48c | 70.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 49c | 61.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 60.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 57.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 48c | 55.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 52.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…7029backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 48c | 48.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 41c | 44.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.