TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ccf…9ea3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$27.16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$14.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.86
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$20.31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.53
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$28.45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$14.87
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.45
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$73.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$91.19
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.78
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78.5
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$30.91
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.27
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$89.99
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$14
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.86
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.79
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.19
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.29
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+415.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Mi New Yorkbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+415.5%+$67.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+269.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+269.6%+$44.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+34%+$3.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.