TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$785,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,729 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under55c508,197$279,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279,036.0420354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c199,968$89,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,982.439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c106,718$47,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,106.031,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over45c91,123$41,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,117.7340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under55c75,000$41,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,2505050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over45c51,550$23,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,352.4736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c42,028$19,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,668.2756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over46c36,733$16,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,835.616147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over45c36,600$16,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,1304365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over44c26,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over46c25,680$11,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,74038844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over45c18,888$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over45c9,167$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.853545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over45c6,876$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.8510146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c6,762$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.836949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.157949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over46c2,243$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.7912047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over46c2,220$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.3233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0604264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c1,705$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.551,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c1,600$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.2691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Over46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.743661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over44c1,157$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.7859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c1,151$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.141,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under56c980$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.73354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under18c976.23$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.736453.1%34 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c944$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over45c920.83$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.410438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49510643.4%46 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c840.68$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.561,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over70c777.09$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.122,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under56c736.61$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c677.17$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over64c664.99$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2921849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under55c520.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5526551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under56c505.05$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.832055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over44c439.65$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over47c434.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over45c377$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under56c358.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c284$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over46c275$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over45c273.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3511855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c239.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under55c227.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5e…d655backed Over45c225.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.047740.3%31 W · 46 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393040%12 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8869653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under55c159.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.482642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked Over46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.176061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c149.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.562,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under54c134.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.273,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Under55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Under55c115.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over44c114.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7330951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over46c114.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.319356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Over52c113.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under53c113.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.413647.1%64 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c112.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.111,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over64c112$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.322,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf34…9a33backed Under55c108.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d4b…284abacked Over47c104.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.571968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Under55c101.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc212…c8ebbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538050%40 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed Under55c96.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.221070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under57c94.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5428549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under56c87.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.123053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…872abacked Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over78c83.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3921555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Under55c78.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over45c71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.057152.1%37 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under67c70.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0517456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.516463.4%104 W · 60 L+18.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc765…4fe1backed Over47c63.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under61c57.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.085154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under67c57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.191,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Over46c52.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4611233.9%38 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over46c52.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5648157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c50.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.141,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccf…9ea3backed Under55c49.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under55c48.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.435349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over68c47.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5527250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36d…40edbacked Under55c47.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over46c46.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9320857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under25c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over48c44.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2527453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Under56c43.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over46c43.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.025650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.