TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7076…7e6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10414.4%15 W · 89 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.23
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.75
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.85
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+406%+$3,572.38
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.63
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.66
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.25
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+230.2%+$121.35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.65
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$10.08
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.29
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.91
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+34%+$4.9
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$26.94
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$12.27
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.2%+$40.01
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.69
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.11
Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.05
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$20.17
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.85
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.25
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.18
Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$42.98
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.95
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64%+$7.18
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.15
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$36.43
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-5.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-16.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$96.11
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$13.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.