NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c5a2dc2eb57594cf530214f8bac06d31e388aabc30cb50cc27c9345fc5a2c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,617,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,617,107 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 49c | 700,000$343,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342,999.94 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pelicans | 51c | 506,444$257,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248,617.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans | 51c | 362,276$184,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,515.1 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 50c | 220,000$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans | 50c | 157,148$79,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,053.6 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,499.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans | 51c | 90,730$46,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,578.73 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 49c | 47,304$23,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,178.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Wizards | 49c | 28,242$13,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,838.52 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 50c | 27,516$13,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,660.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 51c | 23,449$11,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,490.03 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 49c | 20,381$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,985.3 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.95 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 49c | 13,978$6,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.85 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wizards | 49c | 10,143$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.15 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 49c | 10,101$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Wizards | 49c | 9,857$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 49c | 9,680$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards | 50c | 8,100$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Pelicans | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.34 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards | 49c | 5,250$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.5 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 49c | 4,248$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.66 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Wizards | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 54c | 2,999$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards | 49c | 2,628$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.66 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,602$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Wizards | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,320$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.22 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pelicans | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wizards | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Wizards | 60c | 1,532$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.2 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,511$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.25 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 47c | 1,134$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 40c | 1,132$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards | 51c | 1,112$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.4 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,047$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.12 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards | 31c | 1,019$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wizards | 49c | 923.25$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.39 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Pelicans | 52c | 914$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.72 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…2458backed Wizards | 5c | 905.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Pelicans | 51c | 784.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.43 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Pelicans | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Wizards | 53c | 759.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Pelicans | 51c | 750.82$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Wizards | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Wizards | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Wizards | 50c | 610.72$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wizards | 50c | 600.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Wizards | 50c | 600$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2275backed Wizards | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Pelicans | 52c | 588.24$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 48c | 562.41$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Pelicans | 52c | 559.83$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Wizards | 57c | 515.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 502.82$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Wizards | 51c | 496.04$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pelicans | 51c | 472$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Pelicans | 51c | 467.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Pelicans | 51c | 420.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 414.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Pelicans | 51c | 406.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 50c | 401.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Wizards | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 396.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Pelicans | 51c | 395.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Pelicans | 52c | 392.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Pelicans | 51c | 383.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Pelicans | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Pelicans | 52c | 357.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 73c | 350.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Pelicans | 54c | 339.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Pelicans | 53c | 333.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans | 51c | 313.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 78c | 312$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Pelicans | 56c | 311.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 301.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…5578backed Wizards | 51c | 300.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Wizards | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Pelicans | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 279.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pelicans | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Wizards | 54c | 248.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards | 50c | 246.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Pelicans | 63c | 238.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Wizards | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Pelicans | 52c | 215.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Wizards | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Wizards | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 49c | 199.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…3c08backed Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Pelicans | 52c | 194.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Wizards | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.