NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3693cad9c8412af26a048caca6685f036f2ef1415dc37fee0a5bf493b82fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,597 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 6,564$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 4,262$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 2,314$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 1,614$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.39 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,469$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.8 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 58c | 859.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.49 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 31c | 707.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 615$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 44c | 531.82$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 58c | 516.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 471.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 389.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.93 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 26c | 383$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 313.78$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…21ccbacked Under | 45c | 169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 75c | 162.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…3fcfbacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4979…0ec7backed Under | 46c | 159$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…5116backed Under | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…179dbacked Under | 44c | 153$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…3999backed Under | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…e439backed Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 56c | 130.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 72c | 128.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 77c | 119.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 102.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 98.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 24c | 88.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 58c | 83.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…e1edbacked Over | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 45c | 78.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…59c5backed Over | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…2424backed Over | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under | 47c | 61.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…0cc5backed Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 24c | 60.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 60.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 60.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…d317backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 55c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…c0d4backed Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…d937backed Over | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 56.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…e102backed Over | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ca…c34abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…ce32backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…8bfabacked Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…34ecbacked Over | 58c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…363cbacked Over | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 42.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe47…3af4backed Over | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…790bbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 53c | 33.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…b2e4backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 74c | 32.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…6c42backed Over | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…3d49backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…37f7backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f09…20e3backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 67c | 25.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…be1bbacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…a02fbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 44c | 24.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Over | 56c | 23.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…44a2backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…bfa2backed Over | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…ee02backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 75c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…ac71backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…cd81backed Over | 78c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.