TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,677 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ca2…5818backed Wizards45c25,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…ae73backed Pelicans55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pelicans62c22,420$13,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,571.436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards38c16,694$6,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,343.5566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards40c14,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards40c12,091$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,836.3228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans60c10,701$6,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,318.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans56c4,803$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.171,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans60c4,331$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards38c4,077$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.0987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wizards40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans60c2,613$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards46c2,016$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.392,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards40c1,878$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Wizards43c1,030$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards39c1,025$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards43c650.22$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wizards43c581.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans60c522$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards38c502.7$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Wizards46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards41c399.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.241,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards44c360.6$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.373,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Pelicans56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff9…795abacked Wizards40c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Wizards40c208.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Wizards48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5810645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d7d…9e2ebacked Wizards46c195.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.811050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ea…44b3backed Pelicans55c194.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards45c190.39$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans62c177.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.421,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Wizards46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Wizards46c161.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ce…6c7fbacked Pelicans55c158.46$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…a2acbacked Wizards46c157.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Wizards40c154.04$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9a…3d81backed Wizards43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…0f78backed Wizards46c148$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Wizards40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pelicans59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5972250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Wizards39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans54c125.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards45c122.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.185,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards44c121.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.781,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards38c120.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Pelicans59c120.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6514248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wizards45c116.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Wizards38c114.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Wizards43c102.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.959051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ec…6b04backed Wizards50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards40c98.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Pelicans59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2210955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Wizards46c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4823350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7561056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Wizards43c77.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pelicans59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7531947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9f…f70abacked Pelicans56c73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Wizards39c71.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2876250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Pelicans57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.137549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84df…e3b8backed Wizards44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Wizards57c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans50c62.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Wizards44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Pelicans58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7229046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Wizards38c50.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0218043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2b…59bfbacked Pelicans57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e95…3702backed Pelicans57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pelicans59c42.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wizards40c40.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Pelicans52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Pelicans55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1828058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Wizards46c38.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7112552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Wizards39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8232747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Wizards39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Wizards39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8227345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Wizards39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8232947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Wizards40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards45c36.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.381,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5d3abacked Pelicans56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf158…0a5fbacked Pelicans57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b8…e7cfbacked Wizards43c35.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.986642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…390abacked Pelicans57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…be21backed Pelicans48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x561b…837ebacked Pelicans57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Wizards40c31.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wizards40c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b15…569ebacked Wizards40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Pelicans60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ab…dea1backed Pelicans56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdbc…5238backed Pelicans57c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Wizards47c22.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5619750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2f…d463backed Pelicans55c20.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Pelicans63c19.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1729156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ca…85f0backed Pelicans61c17.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.