NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e91337269db8eefaaced0c2eec4a00fcbc1ae70738ee4bfda4ff74791381721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ca2…5818backed Wizards | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…ae73backed Pelicans | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pelicans | 62c | 22,420$13,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,571.4 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 38c | 16,694$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.55 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 40c | 14,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards | 40c | 12,091$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.32 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 60c | 10,701$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 56c | 4,803$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 60c | 4,331$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 38c | 4,077$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.09 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 60c | 2,613$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 46c | 2,016$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.39 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 40c | 1,878$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,030$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 43c | 650.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wizards | 43c | 581.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 60c | 522$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 38c | 502.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wizards | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 41c | 399.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 44c | 360.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Pelicans | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Wizards | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Wizards | 40c | 208.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Wizards | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7d…9e2ebacked Wizards | 46c | 195.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…44b3backed Pelicans | 55c | 194.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 45c | 190.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pelicans | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Wizards | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Wizards | 46c | 161.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…6c7fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 158.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…a2acbacked Wizards | 46c | 157.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Wizards | 40c | 154.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…3d81backed Wizards | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…0f78backed Wizards | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Wizards | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pelicans | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Wizards | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 54c | 125.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 45c | 122.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 44c | 121.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 38c | 120.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Pelicans | 59c | 120.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wizards | 45c | 116.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wizards | 38c | 114.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Wizards | 43c | 102.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…6b04backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards | 40c | 98.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Pelicans | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Wizards | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Wizards | 43c | 77.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pelicans | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…f70abacked Pelicans | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Wizards | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Pelicans | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Wizards | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Wizards | 57c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans | 50c | 62.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Wizards | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Pelicans | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Wizards | 38c | 50.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…59bfbacked Pelicans | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…3702backed Pelicans | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pelicans | 59c | 42.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wizards | 40c | 40.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Pelicans | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Wizards | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Wizards | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Wizards | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Wizards | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Wizards | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Wizards | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 45c | 36.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…5d3abacked Pelicans | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…0a5fbacked Pelicans | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…e7cfbacked Wizards | 43c | 35.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…390abacked Pelicans | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…be21backed Pelicans | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…837ebacked Pelicans | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Wizards | 40c | 31.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wizards | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…569ebacked Wizards | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Pelicans | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…dea1backed Pelicans | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…5238backed Pelicans | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Wizards | 47c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…d463backed Pelicans | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Pelicans | 63c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…85f0backed Pelicans | 61c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.