NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f0821d4017c57b4d51c105cc33ad31890f9a646ac1cff5db13e6501f128463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,421 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 47c | 35,000$16,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,330.81 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans | 54c | 26,202$14,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,052.8 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans | 54c | 13,751$7,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.48 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wizards | 46c | 10,750$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.95 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 52c | 9,917$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 61c | 6,496$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Wizards | 48c | 5,596$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Wizards | 46c | 5,551$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.46 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 46c | 5,369$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,173$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,050$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.82 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 43c | 4,046$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,923$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Wizards | 46c | 3,680$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,637$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.95 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,626$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 55c | 3,509$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.21 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 45c | 3,181$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.44 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,813$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.38 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 40c | 2,720$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,028$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Wizards | 54c | 1,539$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.59 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.96 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Wizards | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Wizards | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Wizards | 46c | 870.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 52c | 796.84$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 54c | 790.94$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Wizards | 53c | 722.65$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 673$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 49c | 515.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Wizards | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 430.75$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 46c | 400.04$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 52c | 390.63$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Pelicans | 55c | 363$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans | 51c | 291.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 275.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 261.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Pelicans | 55c | 229.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Wizards | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 47c | 212.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 52c | 205.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 179.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Wizards | 45c | 154.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 52c | 148.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 48c | 147.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Pelicans | 55c | 134.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 130.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans | 55c | 130.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 52c | 117.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Pelicans | 51c | 111.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Pelicans | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Wizards | 48c | 102.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Wizards | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Pelicans | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Wizards | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 82.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Wizards | 48c | 78.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…b8e0backed Pelicans | 51c | 78.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Wizards | 46c | 75.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wizards | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Wizards | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Wizards | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards | 45c | 58.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Pelicans | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Pelicans | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pelicans | 48c | 54.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans | 55c | 53.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pelicans | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Pelicans | 55c | 50.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Pelicans | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Pelicans | 53c | 48.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Wizards | 51c | 46.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 44.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Wizards | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Pelicans | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…e7cfbacked Wizards | 47c | 42.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Pelicans | 55c | 39.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…5dd5backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…1729backed Wizards | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pelicans | 55c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pelicans | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…eaf8backed Pelicans | 55c | 32.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Pelicans | 55c | 32.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 47c | 30.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Wizards | 48c | 30.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Pelicans | 55c | 29.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans | 53c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.