NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pelicans

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f516409e0eba5c7bffe38a2c0a2854b8e05099b36383070538d73694677f7f0

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Wizards, Pelicans
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,640,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,640,505 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans	76c	122,107$92,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,397.17	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Wizards	22c	104,676$23,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,292.23	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans	77c	99,138$75,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,260.91	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	24c	71,092$17,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,028.28	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards	18c	55,000$10,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,049.68	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Wizards	18c	50,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Wizards	24c	40,000$9,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,550	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans	80c	35,219$28,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,043.83	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	22c	33,166$7,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,253.7	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	22c	33,000$7,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,154.99	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards	19c	31,980$5,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,976.15	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Wizards	23c	29,540$6,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,917.2	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wizards	19c	27,869$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250.13	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	23c	26,591$6,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,159.59	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Pelicans	79c	25,000$19,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250.15	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Wizards	0c	24,948$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f9…f569backed Wizards	21c	24,900$5,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,228.61	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7723…abedbacked Wizards	24c	23,142$5,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,664.41	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards	17c	22,797$3,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,875.44	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	24c	20,957$5,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,117.21	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a0…66e4backed Wizards	1c	20,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Wizards	26c	19,003$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Wizards	0c	18,748$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Wizards	13c	16,339$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065.49	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wizards	23c	15,766$3,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,553.07	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans	75c	15,004$11,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,825.56	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Pelicans	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.3	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Pelicans	74c	14,000$10,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,690	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	0c	14,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans	80c	12,954$10,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649.05	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	18c	12,573$2,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,218.15	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	22c	12,415$2,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,731.34	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards	20c	12,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,459.68	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards	19c	11,816$2,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200.81	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards	20c	11,644$2,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.41	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Wizards	21c	11,585$2,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,485.48	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Wizards	21c	11,036$2,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,331.74	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	19c	10,975$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.48	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Wizards	21c	10,664$2,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,227.8	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards	22c	10,576$2,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,317.62	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Wizards	19c	10,497$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked Pelicans	70c	10,288$7,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,077.44	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards	17c	10,155$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725.54	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Wizards	18c	9,614$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.41	95	40%38 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans	74c	9,267$6,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,410.09	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	18c	9,029$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,584.08	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Wizards	16c	8,969$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.17	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-7.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Wizards	21c	8,603$1,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.85	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	17c	8,504$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.18	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Wizards	33c	7,616$2,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,513.31	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	7,396$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	6c	7,223$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.15	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards	26c	6,933$1,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.8	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards	18c	6,667$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4aa…a78bbacked Wizards	22c	6,423$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411.35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Pelicans	79c	6,200$4,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.3	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	20c	6,000$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3359…d5bdbacked Wizards	18c	5,972$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Wizards	13c	5,953$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…c686backed Wizards	18c	5,556$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Wizards	18c	5,438$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	18c	5,400$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.86	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Wizards	31c	5,283$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Pelicans	79c	5,264$4,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.54	156	56.4%88 W · 68 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Wizards	21c	5,140$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.35	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Wizards	21c	5,018$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.1	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6847…4f83backed Wizards	5c	5,010$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Pelicans	74c	5,000$3,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.06	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Wizards	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pelicans	69c	4,989$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,538.61	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	24c	4,500$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards	21c	4,495$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.41	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	4,405$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wizards	24c	4,390$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.69	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…d7e7backed Pelicans	79c	4,000$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Wizards	19c	4,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.79	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	20c	4,000$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.65	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Pelicans	80c	3,750$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.13	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	4c	3,681$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.76	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	22c	3,581$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.87	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	20c	3,549$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.92	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards	18c	3,501$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.38	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Wizards	10c	3,400$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Wizards	21c	3,017$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards	20c	3,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Wizards	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked Wizards	22c	2,850$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.14	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Wizards	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Wizards	22c	2,730$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pelicans	79c	2,695$2,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.49	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pelicans	80c	2,688$2,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.68	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Pelicans	79c	2,677$2,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.29	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0a2e…351abacked Pelicans	79c	2,677$2,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.17	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Pelicans	73c	2,658$1,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.18	161	62.7%101 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb8…75d3backed Wizards	21c	2,657$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.19	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans	75c	2,480$1,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.68	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards	20c	2,383$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.78	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb2…779fbacked Wizards	21c	2,379$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.59	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fe…a0b3backed Wizards	21c	2,271$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.91	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Pelicansthis page
1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Pelicans

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event