TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01f5…5cfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT16421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$60.87
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.23
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.33
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.32
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$668.3
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.19
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+268.6%+$390.01
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.81
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.76
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.52
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.41
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.63
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.96
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.2
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$582.33
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.74
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$10.68
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.49
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Hugo Dellienbacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+131%+$239.16
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Miyazaki: Yi Zhou vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$245.99
Barletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lugano: Dylan Dietrich vs Daniil Glinkabacked Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+57.1%+$8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.28
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$65.71
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.53
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$126.53
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.37
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$285.37
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$110.46
Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.15
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Abacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+135.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+160%+$799.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japanbacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.