Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271f4809892c7c2e67a10f4ebe95e596b10be9190942dc2cda9df4fc2d5b9e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 1,324$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.38 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 858.99$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.6 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 554.94$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 77c | 518.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 429.5$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.73 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 47c | 364.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 25c | 343.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 329.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…a327backed Yes | 80c | 318.08$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 75c | 317.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed No | 33c | 301.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 257.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 251$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 80c | 248.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 220.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 79c | 188.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…1d51backed Yes | 79c | 175.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 63c | 174.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed No | 35c | 168.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 163.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 162.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 162.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 151.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 149.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 139.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 79c | 136.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 72c | 108.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 77c | 105.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 77c | 91.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 22c | 87.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 82.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 23c | 78.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…c8a4backed Yes | 71c | 69.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 56c | 53.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 64c | 48.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed No | 44c | 45.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked No | 26c | 42.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 42.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Yes | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 78c | 16.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 78c | 14.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 78c | 14.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.