TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61bb…1627

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT5976.3%45 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)backed Wuhan San Zhen FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
FC Tōkyō vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$29.47
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Colombia vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.59
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick71cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.46
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$8.04
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$4
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$3.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.7
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.19
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.4
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.36
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$24.4
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.1%+$14.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$76.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.