TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shanghai Sharksof Zhejiang Lions, Shanghai Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7120…7c4ebacked Zhejiang Lions24c24,895$5,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,934.396116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Zhejiang Lions39c14,553$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,628.9513046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0c…994dbacked Zhejiang Lions69c10,435$7,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,230.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1e…cfddbacked Zhejiang Lions0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Shanghai Sharks40c7,976$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Shanghai Sharks75c7,202$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.554562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Zhejiang Lions71c7,044$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Shanghai Sharks69c5,371$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.593745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Shanghai Sharks58c4,248$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shanghai Sharks38c4,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49024430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Shanghai Sharks30c3,739$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.976338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Shanghai Sharks28c3,029$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.335230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shanghai Sharks46c2,823$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.394443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe237…d862backed Zhejiang Lions27c2,560$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Shanghai Sharks77c2,217$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Shanghai Sharks30c2,006$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.986346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shanghai Sharks49c1,960$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.8636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Zhejiang Lions68c1,907$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Shanghai Sharks71c1,869$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.943823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd746…1b6dbacked Zhejiang Lions60c1,745$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.832568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanghai Sharks57c1,737$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.6543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Zhejiang Lions67c1,663$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Zhejiang Lions61c1,522$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.073855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Zhejiang Lions41c1,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Shanghai Sharks33c1,493$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Shanghai Sharks31c1,438$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Shanghai Sharks59c1,316$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Shanghai Sharks56c1,300$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Shanghai Sharks30c1,218$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.889946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Shanghai Sharks31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shanghai Sharks43c1,128$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.3813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Zhejiang Lions68c1,121$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.136162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Zhejiang Lions61c1,025$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Shanghai Sharks34c1,024$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Zhejiang Lions62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Zhejiang Lions68c999.98$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Shanghai Sharks59c951.95$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.745648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Shanghai Sharks60c949.45$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.149551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Zhejiang Lions64c937.5$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Shanghai Sharks73c931.97$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Shanghai Sharks43c898.07$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.085248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Shanghai Sharks30c872.5$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Shanghai Sharks72c788.74$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Zhejiang Lions63c759.16$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.135844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Shanghai Sharks66c752.88$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Shanghai Sharks56c720.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.073458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Zhejiang Lions65c699.98$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.993357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…5c6abacked Zhejiang Lions64c660.77$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf752…101cbacked Shanghai Sharks61c657.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.48366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Shanghai Sharks53c625.31$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.821764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Shanghai Sharks32c624.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.693243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed Shanghai Sharks48c619.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Shanghai Sharks31c605.3$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.653933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3829…137ebacked Shanghai Sharks77c591.28$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a3…8652backed Zhejiang Lions70c572.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Shanghai Sharks36c559.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf8…043dbacked Zhejiang Lions65c539.4$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca9…3e5bbacked Zhejiang Lions6c536.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick17cpaid+126.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Shanghai Sharks35c529.95$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.474557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x499a…a047backed Shanghai Sharks66c526.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f1b…a7e4backed Shanghai Sharks35c511.03$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Shanghai Sharks31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…3bbebacked Zhejiang Lions44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd99…76efbacked Shanghai Sharks32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Shanghai Sharks30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Shanghai Sharks28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Zhejiang Lions68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.994148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Sharks37c472.63$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9834344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Shanghai Sharks36c468.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zhejiang Lions33c456.84$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.846744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad5…c7bebacked Shanghai Sharks33c454.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Shanghai Sharks28c442.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.587138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…cec4backed Zhejiang Lions67c437.31$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Shanghai Sharks34c422.5$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Zhejiang Lions47c415.72$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Zhejiang Lions49c414$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.171464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Shanghai Sharks55c407.87$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Shanghai Sharks39c402.67$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.646642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Shanghai Sharks62c400$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.067042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shanghai Sharks30c395.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.534344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Zhejiang Lions47c395.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.916747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zhejiang Lions27c392.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.835752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Zhejiang Lions52c390.67$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.12227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Shanghai Sharks31c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.11450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shanghai Sharks62c360.32$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1426544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Shanghai Sharks39c347.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Shanghai Sharks71c330.09$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.723145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Shanghai Sharks74c327.05$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.032462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Shanghai Sharks31c320$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Shanghai Sharks64c319$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Shanghai Sharks37c310$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Zhejiang Lions49c307$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Zhejiang Lions68c306.55$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Shanghai Sharks33c303$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.742030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Shanghai Sharks41c302.32$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.333732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Shanghai Sharks40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Shanghai Sharks32c297.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…4148backed Zhejiang Lions69c289.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e2…f2dfbacked Zhejiang Lions48c289.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda88…97d3backed Shanghai Sharks38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.