TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2398…8894

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$4,524
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,045.8
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,338.01
Armenia vs. Moldova: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$174.56
Will India win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.84
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.25
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$51.76
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.07
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$704.79
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.34
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,071Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$969.83
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.4
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.22
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,062.97
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,882.54
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,389.83
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$4,696.5
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$621.04
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
Will FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.71
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$1,809.89
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$59.19
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.23
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,219.86
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.61
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$888.59
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$644.23
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$1,604.05
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$720.49
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.76
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,798Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$1,401.99
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.38
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$1,208.71
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$4,755.67
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,769Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+84%+$1,484.91
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$233.78
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,424.23
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$431.26
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+109%+$545.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$869.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$89.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$100.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrainbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$223.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$948.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.