Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d75d32f6f024cbf2f009b836ca933e936614af45aaf1f60beeb082435725dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 55c | 113,807$62,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,212.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed Under | 56c | 43,462$24,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,123.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 37,586$16,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,915.78 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 22,071$9,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,615.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 11,307$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 10,400$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 9,991$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.99 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 9,234$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.48 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…6b86backed Under | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 59cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 42c | 6,920$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 41c | 6,920$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 6,800$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 40c | 6,259$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.58 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Over | 45c | 5,769$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 5,529$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.74 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 4,938$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.2 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 45c | 4,935$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 3,241$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.51 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 2,900$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 45c | 2,883$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 17c | 2,821$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 2,491$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.39 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 45c | 2,477$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 4c | 2,275$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 55c | 1,596$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.25 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 45c | 1,591$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.94 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 20c | 1,508$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 1,489$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.18 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 45c | 1,478$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 45c | 1,337$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 1,233$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.85 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 56c | 1,151$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 7c | 1,140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 30c | 1,096$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 28c | 1,093$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 4c | 1,042$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Over | 7c | 986.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 59c | 884.03$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 862.33$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.24 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…ca53backed Under | 59c | 829.63$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Over | 45c | 827.78$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Over | 45c | 792$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 10c | 790.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…f9d1backed Over | 45c | 748.31$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 42c | 691.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 33c | 613.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 44c | 548$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 56c | 504.74$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed Over | 45c | 500.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 485.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 45c | 441$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59df…ff36backed Over | 12c | 416.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 404.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 42c | 390$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 41c | 369$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 58c | 336.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 28c | 333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 44c | 292.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 27c | 284.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Over | 38c | 280$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…409bbacked Over | 45c | 275$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 275$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 270.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 45c | 259$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 71c | 258.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 30c | 257.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 44c | 232.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 45c | 224.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…8862backed Over | 46c | 216.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Over | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 31c | 193.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 13c | 187.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 41c | 171.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 152.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f13…f926backed Over | 35c | 151$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 57c | 144.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cee5backed Over | 27c | 144.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d1…173bbacked Over | 30c | 137$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.