TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over21c7,532$1,587 inLost-$1,587.221,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c7,190$5,530 inWon+$1,659.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over27c2,000$540 inLost-$54020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Under78c1,282$1,000 inWon+$282.053959%23 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c1,082$649 inWon+$432.8222644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d6…43a5backed Over32c151.72$49 inLost-$48.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c151.72$103 inWon+$48.554,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9358…2bd9backed Over24c128.49$31 inLost-$30.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under80c124.72$100 inWon+$24.949358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under80c124.71$100 inWon+$24.949660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under80c102.18$82 inWon+$20.5514253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c96.87$76 inWon+$21.071,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c87.44$32 inLost-$32.2357833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Over26c70.37$18 inLost-$18.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under69c50$35 inWon+$15.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over31c50$16 inLost-$15.57436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under64c41.67$27 inWon+$155846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Over36c41.67$15 inLost-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over43c30.12$13 inLost-$12.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under59c28.56$17 inWon+$11.7128456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.642343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.