Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203a2c2db873375d182e1f029a542f36113ac8ec06fe0cd806de69cf906b76a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa937…a334backed Over | 9c | 7,013$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…1be1backed Over | 8c | 6,490$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 49c | 6,178$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.82 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 43c | 6,000$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 69c | 4,349$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.82 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 72c | 4,155$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.82 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 73c | 4,088$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…3497backed Under | 27c | 3,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +268.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 43c | 3,336$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…3b02backed Under | 28c | 2,990$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…984abacked Under | 27c | 2,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,174$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.28 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 33c | 1,461$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 960.97$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.83 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…1417backed Under | 16c | 804.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 739.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.19 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 587.64$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.56 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…7de1backed Under | 25c | 493.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 489.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 47c | 358.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 44c | 320.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 69c | 234.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 218.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 190.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 162.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 20c | 150.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 29c | 140$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 8c | 132.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 33c | 114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 63c | 89.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 44c | 79.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 21c | 76.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 39c | 50.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…bb2fbacked Over | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 31.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Under | 67c | 30.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 78c | 20.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.