TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$468,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$664,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under13c65,033$8,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,454.357635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c62,096$11,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,354.951,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c23,375$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under13c14,834$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8417339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c8,967$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.832035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under40c8,217$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.711816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over60c8,021$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under13c6,117$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.952,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under13c5,320$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.5859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over79c4,330$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.3313834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under13c4,076$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0248950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under14c3,252$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.233145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c3,101$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.944,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under13c2,755$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.141827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under13c2,718$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.5813633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under13c2,207$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.081,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c1,931$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under15c1,820$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.42817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c1,674$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.7620059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under3c1,450$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under22c1,163$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1841…87efbacked Over54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under5c799.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under13c774.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.675259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under31c685.61$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3260%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over49c555$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.051540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under43c491.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.557450%37 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under14c483.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.631070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c477.35$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.61,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over51c454.9$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.93250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over50c450.84$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d8…e8c9backed Over72c409.08$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.166357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Under44c365.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.822878.6%22 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over78c347.21$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over67c338.45$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under21c299$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1614253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under4c296.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.395429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over70c293$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under16c282.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3128456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under15c257.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.468247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Over78c255.53$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over70c228$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under13c227.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.584434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Over57c222$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under6c219.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.457844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Over57c209.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under14c181.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Over58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under13c168.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under45c168.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.092250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Over60c163$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.210940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under12c158$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.484035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Under26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36eb…a9fabacked Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over66c145.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.597350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf6…dd05backed Over48c124.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+84%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under32c123.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.989660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under41c109.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.871827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under37c108.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.899358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under14c105.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8411217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over80c101.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507850%39 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over67c99.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5840821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under22c98.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.257143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under13c98.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.312048.3%58 W · 62 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over80c93.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under19c86.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.394751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Under24c83.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under16c81.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.135058%29 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under24c70.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.837436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60d…af6bbacked Over57c68.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under46c65.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5397…ae53backed Over65c52.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Over69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Under41c49.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…5ff6backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.