TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaf6…dd05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.57
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.63
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Cameron Norrie vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+306%+$490.99
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$146.55
Cordenons: Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$82.63
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43%+$129
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.25
Cerundolo vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.2
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.84
Tabilo vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Set 2 Winner: Bublik vs Halysbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$68.06
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$141.64
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+73%+$142.62
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81%+$48.57
Pozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$406.7
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$69.39
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$98.86
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.84
France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+84%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$50.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$325.8
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.