Tennis · resolved market

Cordenons: Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurri

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8e92257f39b885836b1995ff074241b73f23ea2a68c37fe77d5d94a9dc4cd8

Rebuilt 21 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Max Alcala Gurriof Federico Bondioli, Max Alcala Gurri
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,621 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51e1…5ec9backed Federico Bondioli	7c	17,260$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.39	440	18.9%83 W · 357 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Federico Bondioli	38c	12,421$4,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,720	717	29.8%214 W · 503 L	-39.8wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Max Alcala Gurri	64c	9,571$6,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,420.46	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Max Alcala Gurri	71c	8,532$6,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,478.47	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Federico Bondioli	34c	6,383$2,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,174.09	330	37.3%123 W · 207 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Max Alcala Gurri	80c	3,625$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725	215	67.4%145 W · 70 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Alcala Gurri	71c	2,440$1,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.28	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Federico Bondioli	32c	2,335$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	700	41.1%288 W · 412 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Federico Bondioli	5c	1,791$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.69	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Federico Bondioli	29c	1,555$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.01	208	46.2%96 W · 112 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Federico Bondioli	31c	1,403$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431	173	23.7%41 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Alcala Gurri	66c	1,370$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.09	3,256	48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L	-53.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Federico Bondioli	20c	979.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Federico Bondioli	29c	972.69$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278	1,023	41.3%422 W · 601 L	-24.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Bondioli	5c	922.11$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Federico Bondioli	35c	724$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.4	1,365	43.3%591 W · 774 L	-26.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Alcala Gurri	69c	654.97$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.72	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Federico Bondioli	9c	504.64$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.93	2,049	46.8%958 W · 1,091 L	+19.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Federico Bondioli	3c	501.43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	2,065	35.2%727 W · 1,338 L	-52.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d09…7fd6backed Federico Bondioli	17c	464.1$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	106	27.4%29 W · 77 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Federico Bondioli	9c	397.56$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	1,795	46.6%837 W · 958 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Max Alcala Gurri	76c	394.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.74	447	51.7%231 W · 216 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Max Alcala Gurri	65c	391.02$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.86	1,865	45.6%851 W · 1,014 L	+50.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf6…dd05backed Federico Bondioli	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Federico Bondioli	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	81	23.5%19 W · 62 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Federico Bondioli	37c	255.34$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.48	141	53.2%75 W · 66 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Max Alcala Gurri	75c	189.29$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.42	2,061	48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L	+35.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Federico Bondioli	33c	188.94$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.12	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Max Alcala Gurri	74c	185.5$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.72	465	65.6%305 W · 160 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Max Alcala Gurri	70c	171.45$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.45	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Max Alcala Gurri	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	189	68.8%130 W · 59 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Federico Bondioli	34c	133.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Federico Bondioli	15c	129.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Max Alcala Gurri	79c	124.9$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.68	2,281	52%1,187 W · 1,094 L	+82.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a8…a3c7backed Federico Bondioli	20c	120$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Federico Bondioli	33c	111.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.04	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…3e71backed Max Alcala Gurri	75c	109.61$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.4	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0677…2a28backed Federico Bondioli	32c	90.63$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-11.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Max Alcala Gurri	64c	85.81$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.81	825	60.5%499 W · 326 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Max Alcala Gurri	67c	83.15$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.44	457	51%233 W · 224 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Max Alcala Gurri	63c	76.78$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.41	347	48.1%167 W · 180 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Max Alcala Gurri	74c	67.51$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.51	241	59.3%143 W · 98 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Max Alcala Gurri	72c	64.35$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	2,855	49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Federico Bondioli	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Federico Bondioli	34c	59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	2,485	35.9%893 W · 1,592 L	-28.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Federico Bondioli	22c	58.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	1,708	44.8%766 W · 942 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Federico Bondioli	32c	58.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	1,882	35.5%669 W · 1,213 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Max Alcala Gurri	67c	52.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	147	57.8%85 W · 62 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Federico Bondioli	28c	49.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	390	35.9%140 W · 250 L	-61.1wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Federico Bondioli	33c	49.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	856	37.7%323 W · 533 L	+7.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Max Alcala Gurri	72c	43.45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	763	55.6%424 W · 339 L	+29.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Max Alcala Gurri	71c	41.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	587	50.4%296 W · 291 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…147fbacked Max Alcala Gurri	70c	41.2$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.51	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2d…8a14backed Max Alcala Gurri	70c	36.7$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Max Alcala Gurri	66c	31.94$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	137	70.1%96 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Max Alcala Gurri	67c	31.52$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	2,561	63%1,613 W · 948 L	-10.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Max Alcala Gurri	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	574	49.1%282 W · 292 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Max Alcala Gurri	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	678	52.1%353 W · 325 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Max Alcala Gurri	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	812	56.2%456 W · 356 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Max Alcala Gurri	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	449	52.8%237 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc27e…d4fbbacked Max Alcala Gurri	69c	28.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Max Alcala Gurri	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Max Alcala Gurri	71c	27.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	789	57.8%456 W · 333 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Max Alcala Gurri	80c	27.71$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.66	142	50%71 W · 71 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Max Alcala Gurri	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	814	57%464 W · 350 L	+19.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4359…c338backed Max Alcala Gurri	71c	21.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.03	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc8…6c89backed Max Alcala Gurri	74c	20.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Max Alcala Gurri	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.35	739	51.7%382 W · 357 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc8…2dcdbacked Max Alcala Gurri	65c	18.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Max Alcala Gurri	67c	17.91$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.91	311	61.1%190 W · 121 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Max Alcala Gurri	79c	16.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.41	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-24.1wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc512…7fdfbacked Max Alcala Gurri	73c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.05	78	64.1%50 W · 28 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30e5…2300backed Max Alcala Gurri	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	55	89.1%49 W · 6 L	+9.3wins	+0.17per pick	72cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcafb…a4e4backed Max Alcala Gurri	69c	14.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Max Alcala Gurri	71c	14.27$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.09	354	61.3%217 W · 137 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cordenons: Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurrithis page
Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Bondioli (+1.5)Gurri won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cordenons: Federico Bondioli vs Max Alcala Gurri

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event