TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb11a…a5d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT12748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W75 Bytom Women: Julia Adams vs Daria Gorskabacked Julia Adams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Camilla Gennaro vs Matilde Marianibacked Camilla Gennaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Iva Ivanovicbacked Anastasija Cvetkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$61.84
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.1
Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$18.25
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.8
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Sunam Jeong vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Sunam Jeong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Zoziya Kardavabacked Zoziya Kardava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$66.51
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Maria Andrienko vs Margaux Maquetbacked Margaux Maquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.15
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Juliana Giaccio vs Sayaka Ishiibacked Sayaka Ishii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Victoria Pohle vs Tilwith Di Girolamibacked Tilwith Di Girolami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Theodore Dean vs Luc Wielandbacked Theodore Dean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$32.56
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Dabin Kim vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Dabin Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echarguibacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Giulia Gomes Ferreira vs Giovana Schincariol Barbosabacked Giovana Schincariol Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Quebec City: Andrea Pellegrino vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
ITF Hameenlinna: Laura Hietaranta vs Rachel Gailisbacked Laura Hietaranta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69%+$27.59
ITF Curtea de Arges: Giannicola Misasi vs Gabriel Ghetubacked Gabriel Ghetu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
ITF Ourense: Isabella Shinikova vs Britt Du Preebacked Britt Du Pree · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Irem Kurtbacked Edda Mamedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$30.64
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.78
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.33
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$591.18
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.56
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$422.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$705.35
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.51
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.56
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.28
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$119.58
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$192.16
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.48
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.89
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$622.18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$247.24
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$131.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$71.05
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42%+$76.76
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+528.3%+$1,051.05
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.29
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.53
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.68
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake - Map 1 Winnerbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.38
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.38
Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.53
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.98
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Bbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.1
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.59
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.