Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffee34b64771d326b8e43bcca5bb152fc805fb12ad0770fbb5ea3927db0dbb5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Nepal, Hong Kong, China
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Nepal | 72c | 3,207$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Hong Kong, China | 22c | 2,698$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.46 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hong Kong, China | 20c | 1,407$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hong Kong, China | 21c | 1,401$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Hong Kong, China | 24c | 1,376$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.37 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Hong Kong, China | 25c | 1,192$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.21 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Hong Kong, China | 3c | 1,140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Hong Kong, China | 37c | 954.05$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Hong Kong, China | 8c | 935.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hong Kong, China | 17c | 885.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Hong Kong, China | 4c | 606.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Hong Kong, China | 22c | 536.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Hong Kong, China | 23c | 501.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Hong Kong, China | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Hong Kong, China | 29c | 444.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hong Kong, China | 36c | 381.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Hong Kong, China | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Nepal | 75c | 265.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…eeebbacked Hong Kong, China | 26c | 229.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 68c | 218$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed Hong Kong, China | 27c | 213.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Hong Kong, China | 19c | 208$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Nepal | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Nepal | 56c | 196.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Nepal | 72c | 193.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Hong Kong, China | 45c | 177.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…3bbfbacked Nepal | 79c | 162.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Nepal | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nepal | 73c | 153.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…c3bcbacked Nepal | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Hong Kong, China | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Hong Kong, China | 27c | 128.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Nepal | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Nepal | 77c | 124.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hong Kong, China | 16c | 120.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…a6edbacked Hong Kong, China | 44c | 112.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Hong Kong, China | 13c | 111.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Hong Kong, China | 31c | 110.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nepal | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…61eabacked Nepal | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Nepal | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…84e1backed Hong Kong, China | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Hong Kong, China | 41c | 96.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nepal | 61c | 95.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Hong Kong, China | 30c | 94.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…4e7abacked Hong Kong, China | 16c | 89.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Nepal | 78c | 87.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Nepal | 65c | 82.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Hong Kong, China | 19c | 81.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Nepal | 66c | 81.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Hong Kong, China | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…4a20backed Hong Kong, China | 26c | 77.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf106…0541backed Nepal | 75c | 66.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…72b7backed Nepal | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8487backed Hong Kong, China | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Nepal | 77c | 64.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Hong Kong, China | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Nepal | 75c | 58.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Hong Kong, China | 41c | 56.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Hong Kong, China | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…ab9fbacked Nepal | 64c | 47.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nepal | 65c | 37.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Nepal | 64c | 36.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…ef73backed Nepal | 70c | 35.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Nepal | 74c | 31.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Nepal | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…497dbacked Nepal | 76c | 29.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Hong Kong, China | 40c | 26.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nepal | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1061…1f47backed Nepal | 66c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed Nepal | 74c | 20.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Nepal | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Nepal | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Nepal | 75c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.