TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb19…e7a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT18713.4%25 W · 162 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Spain vs Portugalbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.56
Will Pakistan win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Isle of Man vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.69
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Czechia vs Portugalbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.95
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Sri Lanka win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.32
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Czechia vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+576.4%+$559.11
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Bulgaria vs Spainbacked Bulgaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Luxembourg vs Spainbacked Luxembourg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Durhambacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+1,751.9%+$2,364.98
ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League B: Singapore vs Ugandabacked Singapore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
ICC Cricket World Cup, Challenge League: Bahrain vs Hong Kong, Chinabacked Bahrain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Portugal vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.27
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Glamorgan vs Essexbacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.8
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Surrey vs Kentbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Hampshire vs Glamorganbacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.51
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Yorkshirebacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Sussexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-79.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.1
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$97.45
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$22.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.