Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Isle of Man vs Israel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41cd70c08d3e1518f46bea08159d3f265836f2cb4e545242d56097428ec99d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isle of Manof Isle of Man, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Israel | 27c | 628$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Isle of Man | 79c | 543$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Israel | 18c | 499.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Isle of Man | 70c | 369$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Israel | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Isle of Man | 77c | 226.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Israel | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Isle of Man | 78c | 171.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Israel | 7c | 159.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Israel | 21c | 126.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Israel | 24c | 125.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…1a13backed Israel | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…bdeabacked Israel | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…1eedbacked Israel | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Israel | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Isle of Man | 74c | 31.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.