World Politics · resolved market
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33403f2501afbeafa3372043080e5360d714a9323b264cb76c3aaafc335304a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,170,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $819,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,170,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 99,723$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.74 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 3c | 66,873$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 1c | 55,716$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes | 47c | 35,343$16,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,686.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…d309backed Yes | 2c | 23,656$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +383%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…419ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,639$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…7bd3backed Yes | 1c | 17,707$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…cf0abacked No | 21c | 16,000$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,651.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked Yes | 6c | 14,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…725fbacked Yes | 13c | 12,608$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 1c | 11,709$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 7c | 10,573$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…92cabacked Yes | 1c | 10,264$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 49c | 10,252$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.1 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…ac95backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…fc33backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…856dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,572$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 28c | 8,204$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,935.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…20c3backed No | 12c | 7,587$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 10cpaid | +434.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 75c | 7,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…49a7backed Yes | 17c | 6,904$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 79c | 6,603$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…477abacked Yes | 6c | 6,363$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…d1e3backed Yes | 9c | 6,334$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked No | 25c | 6,109$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 5,874$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.32 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…e52abacked Yes | 74c | 5,251$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…a919backed No | 18c | 5,195$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +346.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 14c | 4,219$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…4069backed No | 17c | 4,142$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +579.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…2ad3backed Yes | 47c | 4,141$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…e99bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,021$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +208%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,846$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.28 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed Yes | 11c | 3,823$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…9854backed Yes | 1c | 3,774$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…f70bbacked No | 18c | 3,599$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +349%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 29c | 3,543$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…4f0cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,534$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…548fbacked Yes | 76c | 3,506$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6fd4backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…66cebacked Yes | 4c | 3,203$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…54a1backed Yes | 6c | 3,135$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…3ad3backed Yes | 72c | 3,071$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…8035backed Yes | 7c | 2,983$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 25c | 2,902$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +440.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…77c1backed No | 22c | 2,830$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…999cbacked No | 14c | 2,783$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +441.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 25c | 2,772$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.01 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…f046backed Yes | 1c | 2,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…cdb4backed Yes | 74c | 2,548$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8169…cc8dbacked No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…6305backed No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…67b3backed No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8555…2b19backed No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…3334backed No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2786…275dbacked No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…b5a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,415$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 72c | 2,300$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…0bc5backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…4af1backed Yes | 18c | 2,091$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +504.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…1b30backed Yes | 3c | 2,081$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…38cdbacked Yes | 74c | 2,027$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…6bc8backed Yes | 49c | 1,932$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…d610backed Yes | 1c | 1,915$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…3134backed Yes | 73c | 1,868$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 1,865$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.25 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…c714backed No | 33c | 1,843$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 1,839$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.6 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…121ebacked No | 29c | 1,744$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +556.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…6178backed No | 25c | 1,735$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…32a2backed Yes | 32c | 1,650$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 74c | 1,606$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.68 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 22c | 1,526$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed Yes | 73c | 1,524$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 20c | 1,515$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.63 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…4d09backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…b342backed Yes | 76c | 1,450$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 11c | 1,437$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.15 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…3806backed No | 27c | 1,434$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…49c4backed Yes | 79c | 1,424$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…53b6backed Yes | 71c | 1,397$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…3c2bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,390$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 1,358$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.08 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…f455backed Yes | 74c | 1,352$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 80c | 1,345$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.7 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…0683backed No | 24c | 1,259$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +368.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 67c | 1,253$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked Yes | 72c | 1,252$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.61 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…1988backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,250$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…d757backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +418.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,105$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 74c | 1,099$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x552f…f467backed No | 13c | 1,092$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.