TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb36c…8715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST190%0 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.16
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.07
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$247.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.53
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.35
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.05
Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+178.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,473%+$206.94
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+349.7%+$347.6
CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.8
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$38.46
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+62%+$33.57
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+84.4%+$46.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+239.2%+$190.47
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+300%+$146.25
Will Pisa SC vs. Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.8
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.9%+$244.91
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+290.3%+$1,084.77
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+146.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+2,122.2%+$1,909.97
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45.1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$81.34
Will Apple launch another MacBook on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-77.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.17
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$317.62
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+105%+$2,202.16
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$687.7
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$165.25
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$71.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+440.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+261.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$326.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.