Ukraine · resolved market
Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db78eb181cffe4d1b0550f37390eb41ded6917dc377a8372607ebc30448b7a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked No | 0c | 92,777$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…2e37backed No | 1c | 38,511$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked No | 0c | 29,926$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 1c | 22,107$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 0c | 9,556$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed No | 0c | 8,554$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 0c | 7,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…bc4fbacked No | 0c | 3,938$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed No | 1c | 3,750$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 1c | 3,370$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 1c | 3,234$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 2c | 3,006$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 1c | 2,940$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed No | 7c | 2,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked No | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed No | 1c | 2,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…3a3ebacked No | 1c | 1,235$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…cedfbacked No | 1c | 1,077$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed No | 1c | 881.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 824.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…6153backed No | 3c | 661.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.