TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e5b…d4ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.65
Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,365
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.5
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.87
Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.4
Will Pat Sabatini win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$479.55
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Clayton Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Trump attend UFC 323?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$192.92
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$275
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$243
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$242
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$308
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$226.4
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$259
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$240
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$213.56
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$290
UFC 322: Meerschaert vs. Daukaus (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$170.03
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Mariscal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$245
UFC 322: Hill vs. Kline (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$255
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$645
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,562.34
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,533Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+141%+$7,799.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,133.02
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$169.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$11,680
Will The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31.66
Will G2 Esports win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$209.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,733Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+212.5%+$7,932.84
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26,104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$22,236.4
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$6,258.61
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,631.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,346.34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,231.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$263.45
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,194.42
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$586.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+233.3%+$455
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+354.5%+$702
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+284.6%+$9,865.66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+150%+$3,000
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+470.4%+$5,969.94
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom (BO3)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$565
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+111%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+184.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.16
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,151.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$218.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.