Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1588eeba951dfc68713d5c11b0c2b8981cead9586ca370bc6caa2b71b0ba9fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 7,032$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fe…a205backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 17c | 4,321$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 80c | 1,205$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,157$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 6c | 460.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 17c | 399.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 397.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…5db9backed Yes | 11c | 299.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 17c | 275$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 16c | 273.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 27c | 260.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Yes | 27c | 219.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 21c | 190.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 9c | 186.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 9c | 167.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 19c | 121.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…81ccbacked Yes | 25c | 120.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 117.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 18c | 112.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 106.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 25c | 100.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 12c | 88.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 27c | 59.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed Yes | 34c | 56.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 30.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…66b7backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.